Weekly Insights.

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Countercyclical Commercial Office Investment

We see lots of quality property deals at MP Funds Management and we invest in only a select few that have robust property fundamentals. Often these deals will be countercyclical if: we feel the thematics are strong, the downside protection is sufficient, and the pricing is good.

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When a property is purchased well (c.40% below replacement), well located, and significantly under-rented (c.40%), we think it’s worth a closer look.

I really love this regional shopping centre deal that we have seen recently. Whilst it does not explicitly meet the MP Funds Management high teens (plus) return mandate, my gut feeling (based on the property fundamentals) is that the deal will significantly outperform the stated 13-15% IRR and 8% annualised distribution in the Information Memorandum*.

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How Much Commercial Office Space is on the Market?

At MP Funds Management we have investment exposure to the commercial office sector. We believe the commercial office sector can be a valuable store hold of wealth however, with vastly shifting levers such as an increase in interest rates, reduced physical occupancy due to work from home, and a range of other factors, pricing and value in the sector overall are changing; with cap rates expected to blow out and values believed to be trending downward as a general theme across the sector.

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A Focus on Fundamentals with Michael Hynes

In 2023, caution is the key to real estate investment, with opportunities likely to arise in specific property assets where the fundamentals are strong and there is an imbalance in supply and demand. Focusing on tenant-led transactions with pre-committed strong underlying tenants in the commercial office development sector can present lower risk and provide a potentially robust income stream post-completion.

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Residential Build-To-Rent Vs Build-To-Sell Investment

The residential landscape in Australia faces challenges, with only around 10.2 million dwellings available to house over 25.5 million people. Supply-demand imbalance is currently exacerbated by higher financing costs and increased construction prices.

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